Thursday, October 2, 2008

Crunching the Numbers

Once again, I'm going to push my favorite site, Real Clear Politics. It becomes addictive, watching the battleground state poll numbers. It's the political equivalent of the stock market. And right now, Barack's stock is rising!

My newest toy is the CNN election calculator, which helps you do the math and figure out which states will push Barack over the top (basically if he can win Florida, it's all over).

Also, the Princeton Election Consortium is run by statistician from Princeton who models 10,000 electoral probabilities using a live feed from www.pollster.com updated twice daily. What's interesting about this is the high probability that tonight's debate won't matter in terms of being a game-changer.

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