Note to campaign: We need to get Michelle to cry, too. Or at least start "speaking from the heart" like Hillary is starting to.
Here's a letter from a New Hampshire volunteer.
I'm sure emotions are running wild, so I thought I'd drop a quick note from
New Hampshire before I crash for the night.I spent the day canvasing from 9
until 8 PM when the polls closed. Before 9 AM I spent 2.5 hours
getting visibility set up at our polling places. We had a wonderful field
organizer, a terrific set of local volunteers, and a bunch of great kids who
came in from various places for the final push. On the day before Iowa, the
various polls had us basically tied with Hillary at around 33% of the vote.
Today we got 37% of the vote in a record turnout. So, what went "wrong?"
Expectations. The post-Iowa polls shows an unsustainable emotional bounce.
From what I saw here on the ground there were several factors.The emotional
moment definitely persuaded some female voters. That disappoints me a great
deal, but based on the people my wife and I talked to at various points over
the past day, it is undeniable that this had an effect. Look at the gender
demographics in Iowa versus New Hampshire, and you'll see that Hillary
pulled in many more women in NH. Part of this is cultural, but you can also
see that Edwards lost many women compared to Iowa, and Hillary gained all of
those. Barack's numbers among women stayed steady.What happened to the
Biden/Dodd supporters? My guess is that their initial gut reaction was to
swing to Barack Obama with the bandwagon effect. It was inevitable that some
would change their minds and go to other candidates. It's kind of natural,
when you think about it, that the supporters of the candidates who had that
much experience went with the establishment "safe" choice. McCain's surge in
New Hampshire came at our expense by siphoning off independents. So, there
you have it nice and simple. Probably too simple, but close enough. Just
remember that we did better than anybody expected on January 2, and much,
much better than anybody dreamed back in August. Keep up the good work. I
need to get more than 5 hours of sleep one of these night.I hereby pass the
baton to our friends in South Carolina.